Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 128.153634 140.526097 153.088410 166.772353 181.232204 196.032481 212.300855
2025-11-23 108.580303 127.068712 146.605371 168.679582 192.820777 218.318999 247.184516
2025-11-30 96.189808 119.449474 144.919551 174.617497 208.036061 244.236526 286.172204
2025-12-07 84.481114 111.083603 141.211737 177.364789 219.088544 265.281810 319.841901
2025-12-14 73.244631 101.946323 135.537464 176.955137 225.878108 281.112070 347.472987
2025-12-21 65.512786 96.098922 132.976653 179.544798 235.658315 300.060028 378.532506
2025-12-28 60.275011 92.729655 132.912990 184.718574 248.209676 322.086062 413.152751
2026-01-04 54.798930 88.469135 131.274169 187.582848 257.715782 340.378048 443.374514
2026-01-11 50.620700 85.487155 130.903134 191.737244 268.593050 360.199071 475.397031
2026-01-18 46.616646 82.346407 130.012642 194.982601 278.177126 378.381102 505.470714
2026-01-25 39.511599 74.167922 121.891985 188.423828 275.089740 380.851621 516.415169
2026-02-01 34.497556 68.543648 116.811001 185.468187 276.253275 388.301049 533.221333
2026-02-08 30.655477 64.406328 113.614656 184.946573 280.582529 399.838586 555.339881
2026-02-15 27.813568 61.572213 112.076552 186.541860 287.607550 414.772857 581.757478
2026-02-22 26.470143 61.050091 113.821921 192.637543 300.589050 437.324666 617.805707
2026-03-01 24.386069 59.076405 113.273963 195.434648 309.150784 454.279235 646.956418
2026-03-08 21.702271 55.777684 110.511357 194.927568 313.166822 465.358636 668.735198
2026-03-15 20.010283 54.074252 110.067170 197.647667 321.500563 482.002906 697.593674
2026-03-22 19.053646 53.637110 111.546511 203.134270 333.626295 503.622724 732.874500
2026-03-29 17.674331 52.242452 111.400423 206.170365 342.357269 520.834811 762.606971
2026-04-05 16.674795 51.486127 112.213010 210.582319 352.982376 540.552653 795.609678
2026-04-12 15.573526 50.403159 112.411356 214.028886 362.252593 558.516381 826.435201
2026-04-19 12.820218 45.469555 105.887156 207.053816 356.684724 556.696462 831.650882